The India Decade

The India Decade e-paper, Tuesday, 13 October 2026

The India Decade
Tuesday, 13 October 2026Morning editionNews from 5 am Monday 12 October to 5 am Tuesday 13 October

The Bullish Case for HPE: Why AI Momentum and Enterprise Demand Make the Stock a Buy

Record earnings, expanding AI server backlogs, and raised networking growth forecasts show Hewlett Packard Enterprise executing a major multi-year strategy.

HPE CEO Antonio with Nvidia's Jensen

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) has mounted an extraordinary operational turnaround, transforming itself from a legacy hardware vendor into a central provider of enterprise AI and networking infrastructure. Investors who once viewed HPE as a mature, slow-growth business are taking a fresh look as record quarterly earnings, expanding order backlogs, and strategic acquisitions align to push the share price to 52-week highs.

The company's latest fiscal third-quarter results provided clear evidence that this market re-rating is backed by hard financial performance rather than speculative noise. HPE reported record quarterly revenue of $12.21 billion, up 34 per cent year-on-year, topping Wall Street expectations of $12.09 billion. Adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $1.11, representing a 152 per cent increase from $0.44 in the same period last year and comfortably exceeding consensus estimates of $0.95.

Investment research firm Zacks recently assigned HPE its highest rating, a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), placing it alongside technology hardware leaders like Nvidia and TSMC. Drivers of this momentum include structural surges in enterprise computing demand, record AI server orders, and a transformative boost from its $14 billion integration of Juniper Networks.

How are AI servers and the Nvidia partnership fueling HPE?

At the heart of HPE’s bullish case is its expanding footprint in artificial intelligence infrastructure. For the fiscal third quarter, HPE’s Cloud & AI segment generated $9.0 billion in revenue, up 25 per cent year-on-year, with segment operating margins jumping from 7 per cent a year ago to 17 per cent. Within this division, server revenue rose 35 per cent to $6.8 billion, while AI systems revenue accounted for $1.6 billion.

Demand for AI compute continues to outpace HPE’s ability to ship finished hardware. The company reported $2.4 billion in new AI systems orders during Q3 alone—a sequential increase of more than 30 per cent. This drove HPE’s total AI systems order backlog up by 14 per cent sequentially, reaching between $6.3 billion and $7.6 billion depending on reporting definitions. HPE Chief Executive Antonio Neri attributed the gap between orders and immediate revenue to industry-wide component supply constraints, including DDR5 memory and semiconductor wafer availability, rather than any weakening in enterprise commitments.

HPE is also differentiating itself from competitors by partnering deeply with Nvidia on hardware architectures designed for autonomous "agentic" AI. The introduction of the HPE ProLiant Compute DL394 Gen12 server marks a notable strategic turn. Powered by Nvidia’s 88-core Vera CPU architecture, the system is designed specifically to handle the continuous orchestration, tool calling, and state-management loops that autonomous AI software agents run thousands of times per minute.

Nvidia founder and Chief Executive Jensen Huang highlighted the significance of the move, stating: "Agentic AI has arrived, and it needs a new CPU." By being first to market with Vera CPU-based hardware alongside its high-density GPU servers, HPE gives enterprise buyers a dedicated platform to manage complex AI agent workflows alongside large language model training.

Why the Juniper Networks acquisition boosts HPE networking revenue

While AI server compute garners significant headline attention, HPE's networking division is proving to be an equally powerful engine for margin expansion and total top-line growth. The integration of Juniper Networks, acquired for $14 billion in a transaction completed in mid-2025, has reshaped HPE’s product portfolio and elevated its competitive standing against enterprise networking incumbents.

In the fiscal third quarter, HPE’s networking segment posted revenue of $2.89 billion, a 75 per cent surge year-on-year, while delivering a robust operating margin of nearly 22 per cent. Order growth in networking reached 36 per cent, expanding at roughly 3.5 times the pace of recognized revenue and pointing toward sustained revenue recognition in coming quarters.

Management recently rewarded market confidence by raising its fiscal 2027 Networking revenue growth forecast to a range of high-teens to low-20s percentage growth, up sharply from its prior expectation of 5 to 7 per cent. Operating margins for the networking unit are projected to remain in the mid-to-high 20s range.

Wall Street analysts reacted swiftly to the updated networking framework. Daiwa upgraded HPE from 'Neutral' to 'Outperform', raising its target price to $75 from $65 and noting that the company "is in the right place at the right time with solid infrastructure solutions across servers, networking, and storage." Susquehanna similarly raised its price target on HPE from $40 to $70, emphasizing the earnings power created by combining Juniper’s AI-native networking fabric with HPE’s server footprint.

Key numbers: HPE earnings, backlog, and financial outlook

HPE’s financial metrics highlight an improving balance sheet alongside accelerating growth. Full-year guidance upgrades demonstrate management's confidence in maintaining operational momentum through the remainder of fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027.

Key financial figures from HPE’s recent disclosures include:

  • Q3 Fiscal 2026 Revenue: $12.21 billion (up 34 per cent year-on-year)
  • Q3 Fiscal 2026 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.11 (up 152 per cent year-on-year)
  • Q3 Free Cash Flow: $958 million
  • Full-Year FY2026 Free Cash Flow Forecast: At least $3.75 billion
  • AI Systems Order Backlog: $6.3 billion to $7.6 billion
  • Q4 FY2026 Revenue Guidance: $13.9 billion to $14.8 billion
  • Q4 FY2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $1.20 to $1.30
  • Full-Year FY2026 Revenue Growth Guidance: 34 per cent to 37 per cent
  • Full-Year FY2026 Non-GAAP EPS Guidance: $3.75 to $3.85
  • Long-Term FY2027 Outlook: 13 to 17 per cent annual revenue growth and 16 to 20 per cent EPS growth

What happens next for HPE investors?

For prospective shareholders, HPE presents a compelling blend of value, growth, and structural AI tailwinds. While competitors like Dell Technologies and Super Micro Computer have seen substantial valuation expansion during the hardware supercycle, HPE trades at a competitive multiple relative to its growing cash generation and multi-pronged product ecosystem.

Rather than relying on a single product cycle, HPE offers investors three distinct revenue drivers: GPU-dense AI Factory server deployments, custom Vera CPU-based compute for autonomous agent orchestration, and high-margin Juniper networking infrastructure. Backed by $3.75 billion in projected annual free cash flow and a massive AI backlog, HPE is well-positioned to deliver ongoing capital appreciation as enterprise AI deployments transition from initial experimentation to full operational scale.

police barricades and security forces blocking a delhi street (file image)

External entities attempting to deploy Bangladesh and Nepal unrest model in India

India stands squarely in the crosshairs of an orchestrated destabilisation campaign. Hostile external actors, determined to check New Delhi's rising global stature, are aggressively attempting to replicate the destructive civil unrest models that recently tore through Bangladesh and Nepal. What is presenting itself on social feeds as spontaneous youth anger is nothing less than a calculated cross-border influence operation designed to bring sovereign governance to its knees.

The warning signs are stark, dangerous, and accelerating. Senior legal figures, security observers, and political analysts have raised urgent alarms over how digital manipulation and concealed overseas funding are converging to manufacture street chaos in the heart of the national capital.

The playbook being rolled out in India is neither accidental nor organic. It is a direct export of the subversion engineered across South Asia. In Bangladesh, student demonstrations over quotas swiftly mutated into violent street sieges that forced the collapse of an elected government, left more than 1,400 people dead, and wiped out over $1.2 billion in economic output. In Nepal, digital mobilisation over elite lifestyle scandals culminated in government buildings and parliament being set ablaze, causing over 70 deaths and economic destruction approaching NPR 85 billion.

Supreme Court of India

Supreme Court orders SIT probe into alleged assault on lawyers outside BCI office

The Supreme Court has directed the Delhi Police Commissioner to set up a Special Investigation Team, headed by an officer of Deputy Commissioner of Police rank, to investigate allegations that a group of lawyers was assaulted outside the Bar Council of India premises in August.

A bench comprising Chief Justice of India Surya Kant, Justice Joymalya Bagchi, and Justice V Mohana made clear on Monday that the inquiry must proceed independently, without being influenced by earlier remarks made by the Delhi High Court.

The dispute originates from a demonstration staged outside the Bar Council of India (BCI) headquarters on the intervening night of 20 and 21 August 2026. A group of lawyers had gathered to seek the resignation of BCI Chairman Manan Kumar Mishra, following a controversial circular regarding law graduates from NALSAR University that was subsequently withdrawn.

In brief

CJI office faces Agni Pariksha every minute, says NHRC chief Justice Ramasubramanian

Speaking alongside Chief Justice Surya Kant at the commission's 33rd foundation day, Justice V. Ramasubramanian called the apex court's top office India's most vital yet exposed institution.

IISc-incubated startup Yaanendriya raises Rs 15 crore for indigenous drone navigation

The Bengaluru startup is developing domestic navigation and sensor stacks to reduce reliance on foreign components across defence and autonomous systems.

Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Anand Dubey resigns, citing party's ideological drift

The party's key Hindi-speaking face stepped down as national spokesperson after months of frustration over its changing stance.

13,505 girls in Kozhikode receive HPV vaccine as deadline extended

Kerala's health department says more than thirteen thousand girls up to age 14 have been immunised in Kozhikode, with the campaign now running until the end of the year.