El Niño winter forecast: US faces warmer, wetter months with snow shifting southFederal outlook points to unseasonable warmth for over 40 states, drought relief in the west, and rare snow chances across the south.16 October 2026
Why weather forecasts lose accuracy after a week and how ensembles capture uncertaintyExplains how meteorologists use multiple model runs to quantify uncertainty and why predictions become less reliable beyond about a week.11 October 2026
What a ‘one‑in‑a‑hundred‑year’ flood really means for flood‑defence designThe term ‘one‑in‑a‑hundred‑year flood’ is a probability, not a promise – and misunderstanding it leads to costly design mistakes.11 October 2026
Tropical depression off Mexico projected to become first Atlantic hurricane of 2026A tropical depression 630 miles south of the Mississippi River mouth is set to be named Isaias and could reach Category 2 strength before hitting the US Gulf Coast.7 October 2026
