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Trump waives Russian oil tariffs in major diplomatic victory for India

New Delhi's pragmatic energy diplomacy is vindicated as an executive order halts punitive duties on major crude buyers.

By The India Decade

Map: India
Map: India · “Map: India” by © OpenStreetMap contributors, Geoapify (ODBL) via OpenStreetMap

US President Donald Trump has issued an executive order waiving new sanctions and tariffs on major buyers of Russian crude, securing India’s ongoing oil imports and marking a significant victory for New Delhi's resilient energy diplomacy.

The order, signed late on 16 October 2026, puts on hold the punitive measures mandated by the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, which was enacted on 18 September. The law had authorised tariffs of up to 100 per cent on goods from the five largest importers of Russian oil and gas, alongside sanctions on shadow fleet tankers. The waiver was issued just one day before a 30-day statutory deadline for enforcement expired.

Strategic victory for New Delhi

The decision vindicates India’s steadfast refusal to yield to external pressure over its energy purchases. Indian policymakers have consistently maintained that national energy security, supply stability and affordability dictate crude sourcing. Washington’s reversal reflects a pragmatic recognition that penalising major consumers would destabilise global energy markets and push domestic fuel costs higher in the United States.

India remains the world's largest importer of Russian seaborne crude, having successfully diversified its supply chain to protect domestic consumers from global price shocks.

CountryAverage daily imports (2026)September 2026 imports
India1.8 million bpd1.82 million bpd
China1.2 million bpd1.49 million bpd
ItalyNot disclosedNot disclosed
TurkiyeNot disclosedNot disclosed
NetherlandsNot disclosedNot disclosed

Securing national energy stability

Following Western sanctions against Moscow in February 2022, Indian refiners expanded purchases of discounted Russian Urals crude, which accounted for less than 2 per cent of national imports before the conflict. Russian oil subsequently rose to supply up to 40 to 50 per cent of India's total imports at peak periods, shielding the national economy from inflation and high energy costs.

In September 2026, Urals crude traded at an average price discount of $23 per barrel compared to global benchmark Brent, yielding significant economic advantages for Indian refiners and domestic market stability.

While the White House executive order leaves room for the US administration to reconsider the waiver in the future, energy analysts emphasize that immediate enforcement risks have effectively vanished, safeguarding India's strategic economic interests.

Key numbers

WhatFigureSource
Maximum tariff threat on oil buyers100%Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act
India average 2026 Russian crude imports1.8 million barrels per dayShip tracking data
India September 2026 Russian crude imports1.82 million barrels per dayShip tracking data
Average September 2026 Urals crude discount$23 per barrel below BrentIndustry analysts

In this story

NameRole in the story
IndiaMajor importer of Russian crude whose energy access is secured by the US sanctions waiver.
Donald TrumpUS President who signed the executive order waiving sanctions and tariffs on buyers of Russian crude.
RussiaPrimary exporter of discounted seaborne crude to India.

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